While You Watch The War With North Korea Unfold...

While You Watch The War With North Korea Unfold...

Keep An Eye On That Other Little Thing Festering in The Background — The Start Of World War III.

In November of last year we penned an article that opined that a U.S. initiated war with North Korea would not begin until after March 20, 2018. To reach that conclusion we applied basic logic to a few simple military orders that the President processed at that time, to conclude that the soonest the Air Force could possibly be ready for an all out war against North Korea would be this coming March 20.

That date is soon approaching, and nothing we have seen transpire since our original article has changed our view on the earliest possible start date for a war against the Norks. Come March 20, 2018, the United States will be in its best position ever to mount either a nuclear—or non-nuclear—war against North Korea—and put an end, once and for all, to the threat that the Rocket Man’s nuclear program poses to our country.

Will it happen? That’s not for us to decide, but whether it does or does not, if it comes it will bring along with it lots of changes to life on earth.

Among the more profound changes will be those that are geopolitical in nature; changes that impact how nations interface with each other; for the start of a nuclear war between the U.S. and North Korea will provide every nation on earth with not just the chance but the necessity of rethinking who they will ally with once the war is over.

Nothing will stay the same. The kind of war that the U.S. will levy on North Korea will re-map the world. If you thought that Bush’s denuding Iraq as a nation upset the apple cart, wait until you see what changes are brought to the world when North Korea disappears as a country.

China and Russia will go bonkers. Compared to now, where they have an essentially noisy but inconsequential neighbor sitting on their doorstep, once the war is over they will find themselves instead with a pushy, demanding U.S. puppet government on their border. The prospect of that certainly won’t sit well with them, to the extent that one can expect that while Uncle Sam is slugging it out on the battlefield with North Korea, China and Russia will be busy on their own reordering the world around them to strengthen their post-war position, as much as they can.

If our predictions on this matter are right, in addition to the battle taking place between the U.S. and North Korea, the start of that conflict will result in other battles breaking out in hot spots around the world that seem to have nothing to do with either the U.S. or North Korea.

Why? Because the start of a U.S. led war against North Korea will provide cover for not just China and Russia to reorder their world, but also every other bad actor in charge of a country that wants to flex its muscles by re-mapping their part of the world in their favor too. After all, the old adage is true that when the cat is away the mice will play. In this case the U.S. is the cat, and it will be so busy dealing with North Korea that the last thing it will be able to do is try to dissuade China from taking control of Taiwan, or Russia from moving into Chechnya and taking on its Islamist separatists in order to forestall a third war in that country… or worse, Russia deciding that now is the time to swallow up the rest of the Ukraine.

The simple truth is that while the U.S. mounts its bloody war against North Korea, the rest of the world will descend into chaos. For all practical purposes, while these areas of chaos may each look like separate, unrelated battle areas, the combination of these hot spots will be akin to World War III.

Let us look at how this will likely unfold.

To begin with, both Russia and China will be the first to be emboldened by the U.S.’ action in taking on the Norks. More likely than not, except to secure their border with North Korea, to keep the war from spilling over, they will stay out of it. But that’s not the case with those areas across the rest of the world that these two countries want to take possession of.

Russia will be the first to act. In preparation for advancing its causes in places like Syria and the Ukraine, it will first move against Western Europe, to assure that the EU and Eastern European independent countries do not give it heart burn while it is busy elsewhere. Remember, the intent is not to enjoin war or battle with Europe, only to intimidate them into staying in their own back yard while Russia pursues its goals.

To do this Russia will begin with a cyber battle against all of the countries along its western front. The purpose of this cyber war will be to sow confusion in Eastern Europe as to what Russia’s intentions are, while Russia focuses its efforts on Syria and the Ukraine. Crippling cyber attacks, social media misinformation campaigns, regional power outages staged by third-party surrogate forces, and more can all be expected.

If this doesn’t confuse the west and keep it from doing any more than putting its forces on alert while Russia expands its foot print in Syria and the Ukraine, then Russia will act as though it is planning to cross into Eastern Europe itself.

This it might do by moving its tanks, fighters and bombers into the Baltics. And if this brings a real response from NATO, such as the movement of the 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team in Italy and the 2nd Cavalry Regiment in Germany towards NATO, as a preparation to join any fight that may ensue, Russia could easily counter this with the movement of as many of its 22 maneuver warfare battalions as it thinks are necessary, in order to impede NATO’s efforts. In this regard, we are speaking of the Russian combat battalions the country has sitting in its Western Military District, along NATO’s border, to handle events just like this.

The same is true as regards sea born matters. While Russia is watching the U.S. exhaust its manpower, armament and energy on North Korea, it will use its sea born assets to frustrate any efforts by the west to stymie its expansion goals. Russian maritime maneuvering is more than capable of working with allied countries like Iran to delay and tie up any U.S. Navy presence that threatens to slow down Russia’s territorial and power base expansionist goals.

This is where China’s navy comes into the picture. In combination with Iran, these two navies can keep major parts of the U.S. Navy bogged down, not only away from Western Europe and the Black Sea, but also most of the hot spots of Asia.

Working with Russian submarines, they could slow down seaborne reinforcements the U.S. might send to the Baltics. This especially being the case as the Russian port of Sevastopol, in the Crimea, provides Russia with a nearly perfect staging area from which “anti-access” weapons can be deployed in the Black Sea.

Thus, the fact that during a U.S.—North Korean war all of America’s attention would be on North Korea gives Russia great leeway in which to maneuver to reposition itself as the world leading power broker once the North Korean war winds down.

Expect it then… this kind of cat and mouse game. Russia will not only mount one, but keep it up, if only to keep the U.S. and NATO off guard as it pursues its own global power objectives.

As to other hot spots that will descend further into chaos as America fights North Korea, consider these:

Syria

We already touched on Russia’s interest in expanding its influence in the Middle East by gaining an even stronger political foothold in Syria than it has now. To some extent, it also has designs on Iraq too. Yet Syria continues to provide the most pressing problem for the U.S. If America engages in a war on the other side of the earth with North Korea, it is likely to become an even bigger geopolitical problem than up until now.

So far nearly six years have passed since fighting in Syria first began. In that time over 500,000 people have been killed, with some 12 million civilians having been displaced from their homes. Yet President Bashar al-Assad still survives.

Interestingly, even with foreign backing from countries like Russia, his forces have still been unable to end the war and regain complete control over their country. What then can we expect when war with North Korea ensues? Our answer: Likely as not, an even greater Soviet effort to take up an even more permanent presence for itself, in Syria and other elements in that part of the world.

What Russia will claim as its reason for taking this stance is that, as the recent recapture of Palmyra by the Islamic State just proved, without Russia the entire area is subject to burning to the ground in Islamic jihad. Or in other words, you worry about your war with North Korea, America, and we’ll take care of the middle east. Stay out of our back yard, and we’ll stay out of yours.

It’s a perfect excuse for expanding their footprint into areas of the world that the U.S. would otherwise close off to this bad actor.

Without doubt, as America pursues its war with the Norks, the war against the Islamic State will continue, and Russia will claim that now that America is preoccupied, it is up to Russia to save the world… and in the process expand its influence.

Turkey

Tied up with the problems in Syria are issues involving Ankara and a Syrian affiliate of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). Up until now Washington has backed both sides, even though they represent competing interests. In doing this it has been Washington’s goal to deescalate the tension between these two groups, and minimize direct clashes between them. Once a war with North Korea is underway however, it is unlikely that the U.S. will be able to maintain this role. The truth is that this too represents an area of the world likely to descend even further into chaos when the U.S. goes to war with North Korea.

Why is this important? Because if violence between the Turks and the PKK spirals out of control, the Islamic State will be the first to gain. More to the point, we see the Islamic State expanding on their existing claim to hold a caliphate across parts of Iraq and Syria, using this to reinvigorate their call to arms for fellows jihadists. Despite their having lost significant territory over the past year or so, if Uncle Sam turns its back to look instead towards North Korea, the Islamic State won’t hesitate to reconstitute itself. This, once again, will bring Russia into the picture, perhaps this time replacing the U.S.’ influence in the region for good.

When one considers that what happens here has a direct impact in both Istanbul and Berlin (e.g. with attacks taking place within Germany’s cities), one can see the direct impact America’s refocused efforts on North Korea—negative in so many ways—will have on the world.

Iraq

Yet it doesn’t end there. For years now America has tried to reestablish Iraq as a stable state, after the incredible destruction we brought to the country via George Bush’s ill conceived war against Saddam Hussein’s non-existent WMDs. If ever an American initiated war exhibited less in justification for its being promulgated than the war in Iraq, it has yet to happen. Let’s hope the one against North Korea does not prove to be a repeat of Bush’s WMD war in Iraq.

The simple fact is, Bush’s war gave birth to the Islamic State, and the mess he made of the post-war governing of Iraq breathed life into it. With imbecilic determination the government Bush put in place undermined Iraq’s ability to govern itself, causing brother to be pit against brother, religious kin against religious kin, and in the process militarizing the youth of the country against the world.

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This page last updated 01 February 2018. New content is constantly being added. Please check back frequently.

Update 1 January – Missed this year's Reunion? Now is the time to focus on next year's. It'll be held in Charleston, South Carolina, from October 5th to 7th, 2018. Plans are underway for hotel accommodations and event rooms now. Announcements will be made about the details of the event soon. Keep an eye on our Reunion Info page to learn more.